2026 Midterms · Senate & Governor
The 2026 forecast, rated race by race.
Seat-level ratings for all 35 Senate races and every 2026 governor's race, with the reasoning published before election night and audited after it.
2026 Senate map
2026 Midterms
Swipe the map to see every state →
Democratic edge
Toss-up
Republican edge
Current projection
2026 control board
U.S. Senate35 seats up
Democrats
Republicans
U.S. Governors36 races
Democrats
Republicans
Projected seat totals include safe seats not individually rated. See the full board on the 2026 Forecast page.
Where control is decided
Races on the edge
Every 2026 race currently rated Toss-up or Lean. These are the contests that move the seat count.
Track record
2024, in full — including the misses
2024 statewide races
98.2% of statewide races called correctlyEvery call is archived with the predicted margin next to the actual result — the misses included.
How this works